xG and Form — Smarter Football Analysis

Expected goals (xG) measure how well a team performs based on chances created and conceded. Form shows recent results. Used together, they help separate luck from true performance.

Key takeaways

• xG explains performance: reveals quality of chances beyond the scoreline.
• Form shows momentum: recent results affect confidence and psychology.
• Balance: combining xG with form avoids overrating lucky streaks.
• Practical use: compare stats with results before judging team strength.